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Octofinal 3-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red151
546050.1
515040.1
213741.5
Blue149
360231.5
439143.8
508431.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185129100150200250151149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.6
49.9→49.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
red by 6.3
4391
#21
43.80.2
44.0→43.8
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
Second
2137
#77
41.50.6
41.3→40.8
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
red by 10.0
5084
#27
31.50.2
31.7→31.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Third
5150
#4
40.10.6
40.0→39.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
red by 8.7
3602
#61
31.50.2
31.6→31.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8