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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Michigan State Championship
Red215
6754.5
2753.4
171843.3
Blue202
353442.5
49447.4
377036.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202163100150250215202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#13
54.50.7
55.2→55.9
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
red by 7.0
494
#14
47.40.4
46.7→47.1
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
27
#2
53.40.7
54.1→54.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 11.0
3534
#20
42.50.4
41.8→42.1
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
1718
#72
43.30.7
42.0→42.7
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 6.5
3770
#35
36.70.4
36.0→36.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0