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Octofinal 4-12016 Michigan State Championship
Red140
277156.6
598041.4
205444.7
Blue119
8545.7
505331.7
283444.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195156120140180220240260140119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.61.0
57.5→56.5
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 10.9
85
#58
45.70.5
45.7→45.2
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Second
2054
#49
44.71.0
45.6→44.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 0.8
2834
#30
44.00.5
44.0→43.5
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
Third
5980
#5
41.41.0
42.3→41.3
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
red by 9.7
5053
#19
31.70.5
31.7→31.2
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9