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Red86
102347.2
400343.9
511442.4
Blue185
191849.2
496750.3
354641.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612005010025030086185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
47.21.2
47.145.9
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
blue by 3.0
50.30.1
51.651.5
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
43.91.2
43.842.6
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
blue by 5.3
49.20.1
50.550.4
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Third
5114
#66
42.41.2
42.241.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 0.6
3546
#37
41.80.1
43.143.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7