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Octofinal 4-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red222
277156.6
598041.4
205444.7
Blue197
8545.7
505331.7
283444.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191155100200250222197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.60.8
56.5→57.2
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 10.9
85
#58
45.70.5
45.2→45.7
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Second
2054
#49
44.70.8
44.6→45.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 0.8
2834
#30
44.00.5
43.5→44.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
Third
5980
#5
41.40.8
41.3→42.1
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
red by 9.7
5053
#19
31.70.5
31.2→31.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9