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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red195
102347.2
400343.9
511442.4
Blue170
191849.2
496750.3
354641.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15720150100250195170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
47.20.3
45.9→46.3
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
blue by 3.0
4967
#6
50.30.4
51.5→51.0
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
4003
#3
43.90.3
42.6→43.0
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
blue by 5.3
1918
#8
49.20.4
50.4→50.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Third
5114
#66
42.40.3
41.0→41.4
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 0.6
3546
#37
41.80.4
43.0→42.6
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7