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Red170
102347.2
400343.9
511442.4
Blue130
191849.2
496750.3
354641.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15819950100250170130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
47.20.4
46.346.7
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
blue by 3.0
50.30.7
51.050.3
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
43.90.4
43.043.4
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
blue by 5.3
49.20.7
50.049.2
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Third
5114
#66
42.40.4
41.441.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 0.6
3546
#37
41.80.7
42.641.8
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7