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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Michigan State Championship
Red184
54843.2
504838.0
21746.4
Blue200
436244.6
247442.2
544841.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165168120140180200220184200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.40.2
46.4→46.7
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 1.8
4362
#18
44.60.6
44.0→44.7
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
548
#38
43.20.2
43.3→43.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
red by 1.0
2474
#12
42.20.6
41.7→42.3
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
5048
#25
38.00.2
38.1→38.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
blue by 3.1
5448
#44
41.10.6
40.6→41.2
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6