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Semifinal 1-12016 Michigan State Championship
Red175
436244.6
247442.2
544841.1
Blue110
546050.1
515040.1
213741.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1701780100300400500600700175110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#18
44.60.0
45.1→45.1
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
blue by 5.5
5460
#26
50.10.9
50.0→49.0
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
2474
#12
42.20.0
42.8→42.8
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 0.7
2137
#77
41.50.9
41.4→40.5
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
Third
5448
#44
41.10.0
41.7→41.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
red by 1.0
5150
#4
40.10.9
40.0→39.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5