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Octofinal 1-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red160
3356.5
276749.0
168438.4
Blue167
54843.2
504838.0
21746.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198162100150250160167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.50.7
58.0→57.2
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 10.1
217
#41
46.40.2
46.9→46.8
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
2767
#1
49.00.7
50.5→49.7
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 5.7
548
#38
43.20.2
43.8→43.7
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Third
1684
#46
38.40.7
39.9→39.1
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
red by 0.3
5048
#25
38.00.2
38.6→38.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1