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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red159
54843.2
504838.0
21746.4
Blue195
436244.6
247442.2
544841.1
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166170100120140180200220240260159195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.40.3
46.7→46.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 1.8
4362
#18
44.60.5
44.7→45.1
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
548
#38
43.20.3
43.6→43.2
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
red by 1.0
2474
#12
42.20.5
42.3→42.8
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
5048
#25
38.00.3
38.4→38.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
blue by 3.1
5448
#44
41.10.5
41.2→41.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6