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Red73
509027.7
376728.1
261131.8
Blue109
612132.1
592628.8
523037.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909905015020073109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#95
31.81.7
30.328.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
blue by 5.5
5230
#90
37.30.9
35.336.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
Second
3767
#101
28.11.7
30.829.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
blue by 4.0
6121
#81
32.10.9
30.231.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Third
5090
#100
27.71.7
27.325.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
blue by 1.1
5926
#99
28.80.9
29.430.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed