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Red131
400343.9
377036.7
609731.6
Blue80
388626.6
360231.5
366832.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10399608012014016013180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.5
36.537.9
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
red by 11.4
3668
#75
32.61.1
36.535.3
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End4.2
Second
3770
#35
36.71.5
33.334.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
red by 5.3
3602
#61
31.51.1
33.732.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Third
6097
#85
31.61.5
29.430.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
red by 5.1
3886
#91
26.61.1
26.925.8
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed