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Red110
261237.0
102347.2
260425.8
Blue107
477631.4
571236.4
370730.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158550100150200110107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
47.20.2
48.648.8
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
red by 10.9
5712
#48
36.41.3
32.533.9
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
Second
2612
#67
37.00.2
35.936.1
Auto10.6
Teleop19.8
End6.7
red by 5.6
4776
#84
31.41.3
27.228.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Third
2604
#73
25.80.2
22.823.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 5.0
3707
#68
30.81.3
27.128.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned