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Red131
354641.8
546050.1
504838.0
Blue101
102537.7
550232.0
125033.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289650150200131101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.8
43.644.4
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
red by 12.3
1025
#76
37.70.2
37.537.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Second
3546
#37
41.80.8
42.543.3
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 8.7
1250
#52
33.10.2
28.328.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Third
5048
#25
38.00.8
33.234.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
red by 6.1
5502
#97
32.00.2
32.132.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsMissed