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Red127
353442.5
5136.1
520335.4
Blue121
438444.4
439143.8
607529.4
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106115050150200250127121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#20
42.51.5
38.840.4
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
blue by 2.0
4384
#54
44.40.7
46.046.7
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Second
51
#42
36.11.5
32.333.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 7.7
4391
#21
43.80.7
36.437.1
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
Third
5203
#88
35.41.5
32.934.4
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
red by 6.0
6075
#80
29.40.7
28.028.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsEarned18%Capture oddsEarned