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Red149
361836.1
283444.0
608638.3
Blue109
365638.2
587833.8
354837.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122103406080140160180200149109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#30
44.01.6
44.546.1
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
red by 5.8
3656
#87
38.20.4
34.735.1
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
6086
#31
38.31.6
38.540.0
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
red by 0.9
3548
#62
37.50.4
35.135.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
3618
#53
36.11.6
32.734.3
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
red by 2.3
5878
#32
33.80.4
33.133.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsEarned