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Red109
323437.6
377036.7
504838.0
Blue170
438444.4
277156.6
496750.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8513850100150200109170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#25
38.00.9
28.329.2
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
blue by 18.6
2771
#11
56.62.9
45.748.6
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
3234
#47
37.60.9
33.434.3
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
blue by 12.7
50.32.9
42.545.4
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Third
3770
#35
36.70.9
28.829.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
blue by 7.7
4384
#54
44.42.9
37.940.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed62%Capture oddsEarned