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Red132
436244.6
2753.4
609835.2
Blue79
309840.4
505331.7
376728.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134915010015020013279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
53.40.5
46.446.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 13.0
3098
#39
40.41.1
30.929.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
Second
4362
#18
44.60.5
41.742.3
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 12.8
5053
#19
31.71.1
32.831.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
6098
#57
35.20.5
35.836.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 7.1
3767
#101
28.11.1
31.230.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed