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Qual 132016 Michigan State Championship
Red107
50339.6
598041.4
546050.1
Blue91
365534.7
592628.8
515539.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259840608014016018020010791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.7
40.2→39.4
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
red by 10.2
5155
#86
39.80.6
37.7→37.1
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
5980
#5
41.40.7
37.9→37.2
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
red by 6.7
3655
#56
34.70.6
32.9→32.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
Third
503
#74
39.60.7
39.8→39.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
red by 10.9
5926
#99
28.80.6
28.9→28.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed