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Red96
516734.2
7438.7
523037.3
Blue143
102347.2
353442.5
247442.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101205010015020096143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#78
38.70.8
39.138.3
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
blue by 8.6
1023
#17
47.21.2
41.642.8
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
Second
5230
#90
37.30.8
37.937.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
blue by 5.2
3534
#20
42.51.2
37.738.9
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
5167
#51
34.20.8
31.630.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.5
End5.4
blue by 8.0
2474
#12
42.21.2
35.636.8
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned