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Red117
6837.0
360231.5
550547.6
Blue158
276749.0
323437.6
6632.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711890100110130140150160117158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#23
47.60.2
44.344.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
blue by 1.3
49.01.6
49.451.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Second
68
#79
37.00.2
36.937.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
blue by 0.6
3234
#47
37.61.6
35.937.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Third
3602
#61
31.50.2
32.632.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8
blue by 0.9
66
#89
32.41.6
29.230.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned