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Red116
523037.3
571236.4
421636.8
Blue157
54843.2
85843.9
277156.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214750200250116157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#90
37.30.7
36.236.9
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
blue by 19.3
2771
#11
56.61.0
54.855.8
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
4216
#63
36.80.7
35.736.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
blue by 7.1
858
#29
43.91.0
41.342.4
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
Third
5712
#48
36.40.7
33.934.5
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
blue by 6.9
548
#38
43.21.0
40.241.3
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsMissed54%Capture oddsEarned