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Red82
505043.2
376728.1
366832.6
Blue117
132222.7
360442.4
6754.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061295015020082117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
43.21.6
41.840.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 11.3
67
#13
54.50.7
54.754.1
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
3668
#75
32.61.6
35.333.7
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End4.2
blue by 9.9
3604
#28
42.40.7
43.743.0
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
Third
3767
#101
28.11.6
29.127.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
red by 5.3
1322
#102
22.70.7
23.623.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed