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Red120
205444.7
511442.4
388626.6
Blue95
370730.8
171128.4
609835.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208420406010014016012095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#49
44.70.6
43.844.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 9.5
6098
#57
35.20.6
33.834.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
5114
#66
42.40.6
41.542.1
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 11.5
3707
#68
30.80.6
28.529.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Third
3886
#91
26.60.6
25.826.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
blue by 1.8
1711
#71
28.40.6
24.324.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsMissed