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Red105
592628.8
191849.2
353638.3
Blue158
496750.3
261237.0
49447.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11513450100150200250105158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.0
45.344.3
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
blue by 1.0
50.31.7
46.748.4
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
3536
#64
38.31.0
38.937.9
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
blue by 9.1
494
#14
47.41.7
44.846.5
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Third
5926
#99
28.81.0
30.429.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
blue by 8.3
2612
#67DQ
37.01.7
36.137.8
Auto10.6
Teleop19.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed73%Capture oddsEarned