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Red122
368844.1
258635.2
148134.2
Blue90
516632.1
509027.7
477631.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217705010015012290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#22
44.10.8
44.245.0
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
red by 12.1
5166
#65
32.10.3
27.127.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Second
2586
#50
35.20.8
33.033.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 3.8
4776
#84
31.40.3
28.528.8
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Third
1481
#59
34.20.8
33.634.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
red by 6.5
5090
#100
27.70.3
25.625.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed