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Red160
171843.3
3356.5
283444.0
Blue139
546050.1
168438.4
438132.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151111406080100120140160180200160139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.50.3
53.453.7
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 6.4
5460
#26
50.11.4
44.445.8
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
2834
#30
44.00.3
46.146.4
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
red by 5.6
1684
#46
38.41.4
39.640.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
Third
1718
#72
43.30.3
41.041.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 11.1
4381
#98
32.21.4
29.731.0
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned