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Qual 1212016 Michigan State Championship
Red114
276749.0
309840.4
7046.2
Blue102
522227.0
438444.4
335742.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512380100160180200114102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#1
49.01.4
51.0→49.6
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 4.5
4384
#54
44.41.3
46.7→45.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Second
70
#7
46.21.4
41.6→40.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
red by 4.0
3357
#43
42.21.3
48.2→46.9
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
Third
3098
#39
40.41.4
36.9→35.6
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
red by 13.4
5222
#94
27.01.3
26.3→25.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsMissed