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Qual 1222016 Michigan State Championship
Red127
520335.4
170142.5
354641.8
Blue135
353937.8
523037.3
468033.4
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511280100140160127135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#33
42.50.5
41.6→41.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.1
End7.8
red by 4.7
3539
#69
37.80.3
40.5→40.7
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
Second
3546
#37
41.80.5
43.3→42.8
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 4.5
5230
#90
37.30.3
36.9→37.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
Third
5203
#88
35.40.5
34.4→33.9
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
red by 2.0
4680
#93
33.40.3
33.5→33.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed