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Qual 1292016 Michigan State Championship
Red130
10743.9
508431.5
515040.1
Blue89
609835.2
260425.8
148134.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229040608010014016018020013089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#45
43.91.1
46.8→47.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 8.7
6098
#57
35.20.2
34.3→34.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
5150
#4
40.11.1
39.1→40.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
red by 5.9
1481
#59
34.20.2
34.3→34.1
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Third
5084
#27
31.51.1
28.1→29.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End6.6
red by 5.7
2604
#73
25.80.2
23.2→23.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed