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Qual 1302016 Michigan State Championship
Red162
368844.1
7438.7
6632.4
Blue90
504838.0
261131.8
515539.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210040608014016018016290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#22
44.10.5
45.0→44.4
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
red by 4.3
5155
#86
39.80.7
36.9→36.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
74
#78
38.70.5
39.1→38.6
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
red by 0.7
5048
#25
38.00.7
34.0→33.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Third
66
#89
32.40.5
30.8→30.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End6.3
red by 0.6
2611
#95
31.80.7
29.1→28.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
67%Capture oddsEarned24%Capture oddsMissed