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Red122
400343.9
2753.4
590731.3
Blue109
205444.7
50339.6
477631.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111480100140160180122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
53.40.2
54.754.5
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 8.7
2054
#49
44.70.3
44.444.1
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
43.90.2
39.439.3
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
red by 4.3
503
#74
39.60.3
40.239.9
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
Third
5907
#83
31.30.2
30.330.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
blue by 0.1
4776
#84
31.40.3
28.828.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed