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Red124
21746.4
247442.2
436244.6
Blue97
360442.4
360231.5
261237.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361138010016018020012497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.42.0
47.245.2
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 3.9
3604
#28
42.41.1
43.041.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
Second
4362
#18
44.62.0
43.641.6
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 7.5
2612
#67
37.01.1
37.836.7
Auto10.6
Teleop19.8
End6.7
Third
2474
#12
42.22.0
38.136.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 10.8
3602
#61DQ
31.51.1
32.831.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
76%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed