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Red107
516632.1
12330.5
388626.6
Blue114
49447.4
437737.4
550232.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912350100150200107114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#65
32.11.2
27.328.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
blue by 15.4
494
#14
47.40.0
46.546.5
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
123
#82
30.51.2
29.931.1
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
blue by 6.8
4377
#55
37.40.0
34.634.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Third
3886
#91
26.61.2
26.427.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
blue by 5.4
5502
#97
32.00.0
32.332.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed