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Qual 1362016 Michigan State Championship
Red145
54843.2
261936.6
361836.1
Blue122
102347.2
505331.7
592628.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311390100110120130140145122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#38
43.22.4
41.3→43.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
blue by 4.0
1023
#17
47.20.8
47.8→48.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
Second
2619
#40
36.62.4
34.1→36.4
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 4.8
5053
#19
31.70.8
33.0→33.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
3618
#53
36.12.4
34.3→36.6
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
red by 7.3
5926
#99
28.80.8
29.4→30.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed