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Red102
353937.8
360442.4
477631.4
Blue120
592628.8
277156.6
6837.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111326080100120140160180200220102120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#28
42.40.6
41.941.3
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
blue by 14.2
2771
#11
56.60.3
57.657.2
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
3539
#69
37.80.6
40.740.1
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
red by 0.8
68
#79
37.00.3
37.437.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
4776
#84
31.40.6
28.527.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
red by 2.6
5926
#99
28.80.3
30.229.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsMissed