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Red115
523037.3
125033.1
260425.8
Blue126
544841.1
360231.5
6754.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8613550100150200115126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#90
37.31.3
37.238.5
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
blue by 17.2
67
#13
54.50.1
53.853.9
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
1250
#52
33.11.3
30.231.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
blue by 8.1
5448
#44
41.10.1
38.838.9
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Third
2604
#73
25.81.3
23.024.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 5.6
3602
#61
31.50.1
31.731.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed29%Capture oddsEarned