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Qual 1472016 Michigan State Championship
Red116
50339.6
295936.0
437737.4
Blue124
171128.4
247442.2
261131.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11787406080100140160180116124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#74
39.60.5
39.9→40.4
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
blue by 2.6
2474
#12
42.22.3
36.1→38.5
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Second
4377
#55
37.40.5
34.6→35.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
red by 5.6
2611
#95
31.82.3
28.4→30.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Third
2959
#96
36.00.5
34.6→35.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 7.6
1711
#71
28.42.3
24.4→26.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
59%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned