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Qual 1492016 Michigan State Championship
Red99
8545.7
148134.2
361836.1
Blue175
7046.2
21746.4
205444.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191365010015020099175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#58
45.71.3
47.7→46.4
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
blue by 0.7
217
#41
46.43.0
45.2→48.3
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
3618
#53
36.11.3
36.6→35.3
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
blue by 10.1
70
#7
46.23.0
40.3→43.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
Third
1481
#59
34.21.3
34.1→32.8
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
blue by 10.5
2054
#49
44.73.0
44.1→47.1
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsEarned