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Red105
323437.6
10743.9
365638.2
Blue108
400343.9
505331.7
49447.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124123110120130140150105108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#45
43.91.0
47.846.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
blue by 3.5
494
#14
47.41.4
46.545.1
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
3656
#87
38.21.0
36.035.0
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
blue by 5.8
43.91.4
39.337.8
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
Third
3234
#47
37.61.0
36.635.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 5.9
5053
#19
31.71.4
33.732.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed50%Capture oddsMissed