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Red105
353937.8
283444.0
421636.8
Blue135
335742.2
49447.4
205444.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12414350100200250105135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#30
44.01.2
46.445.1
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
blue by 3.5
494
#14
47.40.4
45.144.7
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
3539
#69
37.81.2
40.138.9
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
blue by 6.9
2054
#49
44.70.4
47.146.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Third
4216
#63
36.81.2
37.135.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
blue by 5.4
3357
#43
42.20.4
44.343.8
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
56%Capture oddsMissed63%Capture oddsEarned