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Red165
468033.4
365638.2
277156.6
Blue110
544841.1
171128.4
258635.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1349850150200165110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.61.4
57.258.6
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 15.4
5448
#44
41.10.3
38.939.2
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Second
3656
#87
38.21.4
35.036.3
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
red by 2.9
2586
#50
35.20.3
35.035.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Third
4680
#93
33.41.4
32.533.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
red by 5.0
1711
#71
28.40.3
26.727.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed