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Qual 1622016 Michigan State Championship
Red128
261237.0
400343.9
361836.1
Blue107
353442.5
148134.2
171843.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112118050150200250300350400128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#3
43.91.2
37.8→39.0
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
red by 0.7
1718
#72
43.30.5
41.3→40.8
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
Second
2612
#67
37.01.2
36.8→38.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.8
End6.7
blue by 5.4
3534
#20
42.50.5
40.1→39.6
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
3618
#53
36.11.2
35.3→36.5
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
red by 1.9
1481
#59
34.20.5
32.8→32.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsEarned47%Capture oddsMissed