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Qual 1632016 Michigan State Championship
Red84
523037.3
511442.4
12330.5
Blue126
6632.4
2753.4
508431.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116115608010014016018084126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#66
42.41.9
43.0→41.0
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
blue by 11.1
27
#2
53.40.9
51.9→52.8
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Second
5230
#90
37.31.9
38.5→36.6
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
red by 4.9
66
#89
32.40.9
30.4→31.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End6.3
Third
123
#82
30.51.9
31.5→29.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
blue by 1.0
5084
#27
31.50.9
29.5→30.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsMissed60%Capture oddsMissed