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Red122
505043.2
365534.7
354837.5
Blue116
10743.9
437737.4
102347.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101386080100120160180200220122116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
43.20.8
41.642.4
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 4.0
1023
#17
47.21.6
47.846.2
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
Second
3548
#62DQ
37.50.8
35.736.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
blue by 6.4
107
#45
43.91.6
46.845.2
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Third
3655
#56
34.70.8
33.434.2
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 2.6
4377
#55
37.41.6
35.133.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsMissed