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Qual 1652016 Michigan State Championship
Red107
6837.0
85843.9
609835.2
Blue124
8545.7
516734.2
587833.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911780100140160107124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#29
43.90.9
43.3→42.4
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
blue by 1.8
85
#58
45.70.0
46.4→46.4
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Second
68
#79
37.00.9
37.1→36.2
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
red by 2.8
5167
#51
34.20.0
33.8→33.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.5
End5.4
Third
6098
#57
35.20.9
34.7→33.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 1.4
5878
#32
33.80.0
34.0→34.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed69%Capture oddsMissed