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Red117
5136.1
233737.9
477631.4
Blue125
7046.2
7438.7
388626.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10211350150200117125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#60
37.91.1
37.438.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
blue by 8.3
70
#7
46.21.1
43.344.4
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
Second
51
#42
36.11.1
35.736.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 2.6
74
#78
38.71.1
38.639.7
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
Third
4776
#84
31.41.1
27.928.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
red by 4.9
3886
#91
26.61.1
26.327.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned46%Capture oddsEarned