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Red125
7438.7
276749.0
12330.5
Blue107
10743.9
509027.7
571236.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271106080100140160180200125107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.7
51.250.5
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 5.1
107
#45
43.90.1
45.245.1
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
74
#78
38.70.7
39.739.0
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
red by 2.3
5712
#48
36.40.1
35.835.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
Third
123
#82
30.50.7
29.528.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
red by 2.8
5090
#100
27.70.1
28.127.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
76%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed