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Qual 1762016 Michigan State Championship
Red117
365534.7
609835.2
608638.3
Blue112
125033.1
2753.4
261237.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071306080100120140160180200117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6086
#31
38.30.6
39.5→40.1
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
blue by 15.1
27
#2
53.40.7
52.8→52.1
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Second
6098
#57
35.20.6
33.8→34.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 1.8
2612
#67
37.00.7
38.0→37.3
Auto10.6
Teleop19.8
End6.7
Third
3655
#56
34.70.6
34.2→34.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 1.7
1250
#52
33.10.7
32.2→31.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed74%Capture oddsEarned